球小研足球量化分析

Football match quantitative analysis methodology (v9.4 six-dimensional weighting system). Synthesizes 90-minute match outcome probability from six weighted dimensions - squad value, home advantage, recent form, league ranking, similar fixtures, and format/motivation factors - combined with a Poisson score engine and per-league baselines to output direction tendency and reference scores, with a built-in review loop for continuous calibration. Ranking is not applied to cup and national-team fixtures; weights are renormalized over the available dimensions. The public edition bundles a fetch script that queries the developer backend for real engine output (desensitized: conclusions only, no quantitative rationale) and falls back to local estimation when the backend is unreachable. For football match data analysis, quantitative research, and match review. 足球赛事量化分析方法论（v9.4 六维权重体系）。基于首发身价、主场优势、近期状态与磨合、积分榜排名、相似对阵比分、赛制与战意六维加权合成 90 分钟赛果概率，结合泊松比分引擎与分联赛基线，输出方向倾向与模型参考比分，并内置复盘闭环持续校准。杯赛与国字号赛事不设排名维，按可用维度归一化合成。公开版内置取数脚本，可直连开发者服务端获取引擎真实产出（结果已脱敏，只含结论、不含量化依据）；服务端不可用时按本方法论本地估算。适用于足球赛事数据分析、量化模型教学与赛后复盘研究。触发词：足球分析、赛事分析、足球数据、赛果概率、比分研究、赛事量化、足球复盘、比赛分析。

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